Commute Magic

Will you make report?

You live in one city. You are based in another. Commute Magic answers the night-before question with a probability — and shows you how many past flights that probability was measured on.

Crew only, for now. Tell us the airport you commute from and the base you report to, and we will send you an install link.

The Plan tab: ORD to HNL, ALL CLEAR, take UA219, departing 09:30, 99% on time on 188 flights.
A real screen. Nothing on it is staged.

The one claim

Every probability is calibrated, and every probability carries its sample size.

99% 188 flights

Calibrated means checked against what actually happened on flights the model never trained on. A stated 5% means about five in a hundred — not "probably fine".

No sample, no number

If a route and hour has no usable history, the flight is named and deliberately left unpriced. A confident-looking number with nothing behind it is the failure this app is built to avoid.

Three answers

One verdict per duty day.

Fly the morning. One flight is named, with its own on-time odds and the count behind them.

The odds every option you'd accept fails have crossed your threshold. The flight to take is still named, with its own odds and the count behind them.

Nothing the next morning lands by your report time. The night-before and red-eye flights are named and priced.

What you get

A decision, not a list to sort through.

One flight named

With its own on-time probability and the number of historical flights behind it. Arrows step through the rest of your options in departure order, because you know things the model does not — a jumpseat, a crew bus, who is working the gate.

A decision deadline, and an alarm at it

The moment you have to commit to going the night before. On Android the alarm can play on the alarm sound stream, so it rings through silent and vibrate.

Live schedule for your day

Which flights are really operating, with terminals and delays. If a flight you were counting on cancels or runs late enough to threaten report, you hear about it during the day.

Your duty roster, typed in

A month calendar: tap a day, set the report time and the origin. The app reads nothing from your phone's calendar and never signs in to an airline system.

Who else is commuting

The flight you leave the card on is shared as a count, so you can see how many other crew are planning the same flight. Counts only — no names, no ids, ever.

Your own track record

After five answered mornings: what the app quoted on average, how many misses that predicted, and how many you had.

How the numbers are made

Twenty years of on-time records, scored against today's forecast.

  • US Department of Transportation on-time records (BTS), back to 2005.
  • The live aviation forecast for your airports (TAF, via the Iowa Environmental Mesonet).
  • The flights a published airport schedule feed says are really operating that day (AeroDataBox).

Delays move together: the weather or ATC day that grounds one flight grounds the next. Treating your options as unrelated understates the risk, so the app fits that correlation per route from the history and says how many days it measured it on.

Routes with no direct service get one-stop itineraries, each leg priced against its own connection or report deadline.

The How this works screen, explaining what the number covers, which flights count, and why the app does not simply multiply.
The maths is in the app, in plain English.

What it can't do

The things we do not know, said out loud.

It knows nothing about seats

No loads, no standby list, no jumpseat, no upgrade. The number is the chance the schedule fails you. Whether you get on the aircraft is a different question and this app does not price it.

It is not a dispatch or operational tool

Confirm your own duty, report time and travel rules with your employer. Not affiliated with, endorsed by, or connected to any airline, and it never contacts an employer's systems.

Night-before options have no combined figure

Each of those flights is shown with its own odds. There is deliberately no combined "they all fail" number for them, because that figure has never been validated.

A probability is a probability

Weather and schedules change. Nothing here is a guarantee, and a 5% day is still a day one commuter in twenty misses.

Pricing

The number is the same on both tiers.

Free

  • Plan any duty day by hand, as often as you like
  • The duties calendar
  • Your own track record

Pro · $2.99/month or $19.99/year

  • Briefings pushed to your phone before each decision deadline
  • The deadline alarm
  • The live schedule board for your day

Pro changes what is automated and how fresh the schedule evidence is — not the accuracy of any number. Billed through Google Play; cancel any time there.

Privacy

No location. No trackers. Nothing sold.

No advertising IDs, no analytics SDKs. The app never reads your device location, calendar, contacts or photos. Your account, your commute settings and your duty roster live on our own server, and Settings → Delete account erases them. Full detail in the privacy policy.